Theorem statement
Theorem T2: Cognitive Budget Theorem: Rational decision-making allocates cognitive resources according to value and reversibility.
Premises
- A1 Finitude: /en/wiki/axiom-1-finitude
- A3 Improvability: /en/wiki/axiom-3-improvability
Derivation logic (sketch)
- Cognitive resources (time, attention, energy) are scarce (A1).
- Improving decisions requires investment (A3).
- Therefore rational strategy is to allocate effort where marginal benefit is highest: high value or low reversibility decisions.[^1]
Corollaries
- T2.1 High-value decisions merit more effort: /en/wiki/corollary-t2-1
- T2.2 Low-reversibility decisions merit more effort: /en/wiki/corollary-t2-2
- T2.3 Use heuristics for low-value reversible decisions: /en/wiki/corollary-t2-3
Practical allocation table (zh-aligned)
| Decision class | Cognitive budget | Recommended strategy |
|---|---|---|
| high value + low frequency | high | systematic evaluation |
| high value + high frequency | medium | build rules, reuse |
| low value + low frequency | low | simple comparison |
| low value + high frequency | minimal | habits/automation |
References
- Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Johnson, E. J. (1993). The Adaptive Decision Maker. Cambridge University Press.[source]
- Simon, H. A. (1955). A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99–18.[source]