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Theorem

Theorem T2: Cognitive Budget Theorem - Selection Logic

Rational decision-making allocates cognitive resources according to value and reversibility.

Aliases: T2, Cognitive Budget theorem

Theorem statement

Theorem T2: Cognitive Budget Theorem: Rational decision-making allocates cognitive resources according to value and reversibility.


Premises


Derivation logic (sketch)

  1. Cognitive resources (time, attention, energy) are scarce (A1).
  2. Improving decisions requires investment (A3).
  3. Therefore rational strategy is to allocate effort where marginal benefit is highest: high value or low reversibility decisions.[^1]

Corollaries


Practical allocation table (zh-aligned)

Decision class Cognitive budget Recommended strategy
high value + low frequency high systematic evaluation
high value + high frequency medium build rules, reuse
low value + low frequency low simple comparison
low value + high frequency minimal habits/automation

References

  1. Payne, J. W., Bettman, J. R., & Johnson, E. J. (1993). The Adaptive Decision Maker. Cambridge University Press.[source]
  2. Simon, H. A. (1955). A behavioral model of rational choice. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 69(1), 99–18.[source]

Further Reading