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Term

Hyperbolic Discounting - Selection Logic

People prefer nearer-term rewards over larger later ones; discount rates change over time.

Definition

Hyperbolic Discounting: When discounting future rewards or costs, people apply a much higher discount rate to the near term than to the far future—preferring a smaller reward now over a larger one later. As time passes, impatience over a given delay changes (time inconsistency).[1]

Mechanism and evidence

Laibson (1997) formalized hyperbolic discounting to explain under-saving, impulse buying, and addiction.[1] Unlike exponential discounting (constant rate), it leads to time-inconsistent preferences.

Consumer decision patterns

“Buy now, pay later,” limited-time offers, and instant-gratification products (delivery, in-app purchases) exploit “want it now–preference. Consumers often overweight immediate pleasure and underweight future repayment or regret.

Mitigation (Selection Logic)

Hyperbolic discounting distorts cognitive budget and reversibility assessment. Use need clarification to separate “instant urge–from “stable need” use cooling-off periods to counter immediate preference.

  • For high-stakes or low-reversibility decisions, impose a 24–8 hour delay before purchase.
  • Ask “Would I still want this in a week?— to weight the future.
  • Reduce exposure to instant-gratification triggers (notifications, one-click payment).

References

  1. Laibson, D. (1997). Golden eggs and hyperbolic discounting. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112(2), 443–78.[source]
  2. Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.[source]